Many investors make an investment in a small company and hope they make it big. I have high hopes that Solo Oil will make it big with its shares in oil discoveries both in Tanzania and in the UK.
Basic economics tell us that supply and demand dictate prices. The current over-supply of oil has reduced the price to under $50 a barrel but is this rule always true and what drives demand? If everyone gets a pay rise, demand is increased but where does the money come from? All money comes from central banks, of course, and so it is the central banks that create demand by printing money.
The trade agreement being negotiated between the EU and Canada, CETA, was effectively blocked by a Belgian regional government but yesterday a compromise was reached. The agreement runs to 1,600 pages and is a complex, comprehensive economic and trade agreement that demonstrates how difficult it will be for the UK to negotiate a trade agreement with the EU in the event of Brexit. Free trade with Europe will be by lengthy negotiation, if at all. Do we need free trade with Europe? Some controls on imports such as requiring goods to be of a standard that supports sustainability might be a good idea. Many goods imported into France need to have a 2-year warranty rather than the usual one year. Isn’t that a good thing?
This week we seem to be seeing a change direction for the government. Teresa May, was by any standards impressive when she made her speech to the party conference. She did, however, praise the record of the Cameron government and still seems a little out of touch. The pound crashed this week down to 1.2454 this morning. She hasn’t got a vote of confidence from the market.
The economy is still recovering from the Brexit vote, but the pound is still down. There is still a glut of oil worldwide and so we can expect rising food prices just like in 2008 but at least this time petrol prices shouldn’t go up too much. It’s not only imported food that could rise in price but home produced food too as farmers face rising costs. The rising prices could be offset by the supermarket price war, but they won’t be cutting prices across the board.
All investors need a crystal ball right now. Will Britain leave the EU? Will interest rates change? Will the oil price go up or down? Will Trump be the next president of the United States? Will things get even worse in the Middle East? Will the global economy go back into recession? (more…)
The British parliament voted this week to extend bombing to Syria and the FTSE 100 dropped two percentage points the next day. Coincidence? Not likely. We can invest in bombs and bullets or we can invest in building things that will benefit humanity. I would prefer to invest in research to cure cancer. (more…)
It was another worrying week on the stock exchange as more news from Europe and China had a negative effect. The slowdown in China is because we are buying less of their exports and austerity here means we can’t afford to buy more. The economic system isn’t allowing nations to trade. (more…)