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Posts tagged “Premier Foods

Waiting for the share price to hit bottom #finance

My portfolio of investments looks like a disaster zone at the moment. Many of the share prices have crashed in recent weeks and this week the share price of Carillion crashed from around 190p to just 55p although it is beginning to rally a little today. The share has been shorted a lot in recent weeks but this crash doesn’t really make sense. Carillion has huge debts but it recently paid a very good dividend. Why if its cash flow was in question did it pay such a large dividend? The CEO has now resigned and they have hired HSBC as a second corporate adviser. It seems likely that their debt will need to be restructured and Jeffries are saying they will need a 500 million rights issue. The rights issue should have come a couple of months ago, along with a suspension of dividends. What was the board thinking? Hopefully, the share price has now hit bottom and the only way is up!

has your share price hit bottom?

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Watching for patterns and trends

It can be lucrative if you can spot  patterns or trends. If you can be one of the first to sell the fidget spinner before they get discounted or recognise the latest fashion that is about to take off  you can make a fortune. The same is true of any market and the stock market is no exception. Patterns and trends are computer analysed and traders talk about the ‘candles’ on their charts. I don’t often use charts but they can be useful sometimes. Alliance Pharma seems to be fairly static for long periods and then it’s share price will suddenly jump either downwards or upwards for example. That is a useful trend to know about.

patterns and trends

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Surviving a crash in the market #investments

Sometimes it is the whole market that crashes and sometimes it is one or two share prices. To limit the damage, we need to diversify and have some investments not associated with the market.  Then a big drop in the part of your portfolio that is invested in the stock market isn’t quite so damaging. I have an investment in peer-to-peer lending through Zopa. Surviving a crash emotionally is a different matter. People get excited about making money and upset when they lose money but you can get used to seeing it as numbers on paper or on a computer screen. There has been a lot of excitement on the forums recently about Solo Oil and the price soared from around 0.3 up to 0.8 more than doubling the value of my investment and then this week the news from NT2 wasn’t quite what some investors expected and the market makers slashed the price.

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Solo Oil soars on AIM #investments

Solo Oil

Solo Oil isn’t the only stock in my portfolio but it is the one I’ve been watching this week. It has soared from 0.42 to 0.53 (BID) since last Friday. The spread is still ridiculously high at 7.55%. The games market makers play! They have triggered a lot of stop-losses this week and stopped the games of some day traders.

Solo Oil

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Deciding when to buy and sell #investments

Deciding when to buy and sell on the stock market can be difficult.  Some investors operate stop losses but those aren’t foolproof especially on AIM. Market makers often reduce the bid price by a few percent with the intention of triggering stop losses. It seems to be a common practice on the AIM.

buy and sell

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Finance Friday news #finance

I don’t have much news this week except for Solo Oil which made some progress as we await news of Ntorya 2. That well was spudded last month and I thought we might have news before now. Private investors are positive and more people are buying than selling. There are inevitably a few who bought when the shares were at the bottom who are taking their profits.

 finance news

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Interest rates and the markets #investments

Interest rates

I’m watching interest rates around the world. It seems the Federal Reserve will be the first to normalise interest rates. It could be as early as next month but many pundits are betting on December. That could be the trigger for other central banks to raise their rates too. It would certainly have an effect on the value of the US dollar as more money would be invested in the US as international investors look for better returns on their funds. That, in turn, would have a negative effect on other currencies including the GBP.

interest rates

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Uncertainty #investments

uncertainty

It seems likely that Britain will stay in the European Union but the uncertainty is depressing the stock market. We could see a surge of confidence once the referendum is over with. The big loser if Britain does leave the EU would be the City of London because they make huge amounts of money from Europe.

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Uncertain investments #finance

uncertain investments

In life, we always have uncertainty and some periods are more uncertain than others. Most people try to avoid drama and want a quiet life. We want certainty in an uncertain world. It is the same when we are investing our money, we want certainty and stability but politics and religion make for constant uncertainty. Today, it is the referendum that makes markets jittery in the UK, but many problems around the world add to the uncertainty. (more…)


Oil price and the global economy

Oil price

Oil underpins the global economy and so a low oil price should be good for the global economy. However, the global economy is out of balance and being manipulated. The global economy should be a free market but it is no such thing. It is a network of trade deals, monopolies and cartels. (more…)


Hidden value #investments

hidden value

Hidden value

This week the offer for Premier Foods by McCormick was withdrawn but the offer of 65p a share did show the hidden value in the company. It seems Nissin is still increasing its holding in the company and their joint venture seems a good deal for both parties. Premier’s share price still plummeted down to 42.5. This is still better than it was before the offer. (more…)


Market risk #investments

Market risk image

Market risk

Market risk changes constantly. Economic downturns, terrorist risk, perceived risks by rating agencies and political risk all weighs on sentiment. The sentiment that drives buying and selling in the market. (more…)


Market makers #investments

money market

Market makers

Market makers seem to trade with no goal except to make money. On the AIM market, they often increase spreads to as much as 20% for no apparent reason. Trying to figure out what they were doing this week was a challenge as usual. (more…)


price value money

The value of money used to be determined by the gold standard. Now we have ‘fiat’ money, value seems to be determined by confidence and sentiment. The way the global economy works seems so strange to me. The price of things we are told is determined by supply and demand. (more…)


Global risks #investments

When you’re investing in the stock market there are always political and global risks. Will the UK leave the European Union? It could affect trade and so it is a risk. The refugee crisis and the military action in Syria is a risk. As one risk disappears the politicians create another risk, this leads to a volatile market. You can lose money in a volatile market and you can make money. (more…)


The Gatwick gusher #investments

This week I’ve been following the progress of the oil well at Horse Hill near Gatwick which has been flow-tested with good results. It’s producing about 450 barrels a day which is good for all the small companies involved. For Solo Oil, this is another investment to bring in revenue. (more…)


Surviving the market turmoil #investments

The all share index on the London stock market is down nearly 4% this week, which is a lot for small private investors. There are some bargains to be had but falling markets have had a devastating effect on the value of portfolios in recent months. We have to think long term and consider buying. (more…)


Risk and return #investments

The FTSE 100 is up this morning after some positive news from the US, but investors are still nervous. Private investors expect a real terms return on their investment that reflects the risk they are taking.  (more…)


Crash: is it over? #investments

We have seen the stock market fall from over 7,000 to under 6000, is the carnage over? I think to call it a crash is an exaggeration, it’s really a market correction with a sprinkling of panic. (more…)


Friday rally? #investments

The stock market has been dropping since June and dropped from a  high of over 7,000 in May to a low of under 6,000 this week. It dropped below 6,000 last month too and then recovered, will it stay over 6,000 now? (more…)


Bubbles and cycles.

bubbles and cycles

I won’t pretend to be an expert on the world economy, but there does appear to be bubbles and cycles. Cycles when the Chinese Yuan is strong and then a cycle when the Yuan is weak. Do these cycles just happen or are they engineered by governments? The answer this week, was the value of the Yuan being cut by the Chinese government. Bubbles too can be engineered by governments, especially property bubbles, like we see in London now. (more…)


Looking for growth #investments

It was another boring week watching the stock market. The FTSE 100 is still down at 6744.47, much lower than it’s high of 7122.74. I think it’s unlikely to recover until we have some good news from Europe and Greece in particular. Austerity seems to be stifling international trade. (more…)


Peaks and troughs #investing

Peaks and troughs

Day traders in the City of London watch for the peaks and troughs in share prices, selling on the peaks and buying on the troughs. They keep the market stable, but they also sell on bad news and buy on good news. (more…)


Market Makers #investments

stock market

Market makers are often the topic of discussion on the boards of investment forums. They are often blamed for all sorts of things! The London stock exchange has members who are official market makers and guarantee to trade in certain stocks. (more…)


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